LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has scored 35.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's scored over the course of the season.
LeBron James has attempted 9.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
LeBron James has tallied 35.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 98th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

LeBron James has sunk just 26.8% of his 3-point shots this season, quite a bit lower than his 35.6 rate last season.
The Grizzlies have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year playing at home (which will also lead to fewer [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.1).
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).

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