LeBron James Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has posted 36.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.
LeBron James has successfully made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing at home.
LeBron James has attempted 9.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
LeBron James has been on the court for 35.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.

Favors Under

The Hawks have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

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