LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-195/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -195 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has converted 51.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 10.8% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
LeBron James has averaged 33.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.2 fouls per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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