LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-158/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has converted 52.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season away from his home court.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 34.0 minutes per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.1 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

Favors Under

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 4.7 3-point attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a challenging matchup.
The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will likely experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.