LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, LeBron James registers in the 86th percentile for 3-point shots hit, registering 2.3 per game this year.
LeBron James has played 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The matchup against the Celtics is a strong one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Lakers will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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