LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 3:24 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, LeBron James registers in the 85th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 32.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.
LeBron James has averaged a measly 0.9 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
LeBron James should see an increase in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

LeBron James has attempted a mere 5.6 three-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.8 rate last season.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 9th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.4).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Playing at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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