LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 8.9 assists per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
LeBron James has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.

Favors Under

LeBron James has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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