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LeBron James

LeBron James Assists
Player Prop - 1/15/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has tallied 8.8 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.

Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

The Lakers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

LeBron James is expected to see an increase in effectiveness across the board as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Heat).

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