LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 8.9 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
LeBron James has averaged 35.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Atlanta Hawks).
LeBron James stands to get a boost in production in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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