LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 9.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Lakers have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production in all stat categories.

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