LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 9.1 assists per game this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric in recent days.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.2 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
LeBron James has averaged 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (25th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.
LeBron James will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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