LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has totaled a whopping 9.1 assists per game this year, a big improvement over his 8.3 assists per game last year.
LeBron James has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
LeBron James has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (19th percentile).

Favors Under

The least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
LeBron James figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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