LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/23/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 23, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 3:19 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has totaled 10.5 assists per game while at home this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
LeBron James has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Lakers.
The Lakers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
LeBron James will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Lakers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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