LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 21, 2024

Updated Nov 22, 2024 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-139/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has put up 11.0 assists per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 100th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
LeBron James has played 34.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 8 games away from their home city, which should raise possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
LeBron James will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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