LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 2:19 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has put up 10.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put up over the course of the year.
LeBron James has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James figures to experience a decrease in output for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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