LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 17, 2024 2:36 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 10.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
LeBron James has played 35.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 96th percentile.
The Lakers have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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