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LeBron James

LeBron James Assists
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LeBron James has averaged 8.3 assists per game at home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
  • LeBron James has played 34.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The 4th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Lakers.
  • The Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
  • LeBron James ought to see a spike in output for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • LeBron James has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
  • The Lakers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Kings).
  • The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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