LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 9.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied overall this season.
LeBron James has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Lakers have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

LeBron James has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).
The Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
LeBron James ought to suffer a drop-off in production across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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