LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 30, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 8.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
LeBron James has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Hawks).

Favors Under

LeBron James has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to being on the road in this game.

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