LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 3:46 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has totaled 7.9 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the league in this category over this stretch: 98th percentile.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game on his home court this year.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James comes in at the 25th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a lowly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Bulls have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Chicago Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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