LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 1:22 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 8.2 assists per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
LeBron James has averaged 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, LeBron James lands in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, registering a mere 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The 4th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Lakers.
The Mavericks have played at the speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Los Angeles Lakers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has nabbed 14.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (preserving possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).

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