LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-121/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +117 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 8.3 assists per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
LeBron James has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
LeBron James has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the least foul-whistled players in the NBA (25th percentile).
The speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost opportunities for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team has come down with 13.4 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).

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