LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 8.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's compiled in all games this year.
LeBron James has averaged 33.5 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, LeBron James registers in the 24th percentile for personal fouls, logging only 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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