LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has posted 9.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 higher than he's posted overall this year.
LeBron James has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home.
LeBron James figures to see a rise in production for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

LeBron James has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.0 more than he's been called for over the course of the year at home.
The Hornets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Charlotte Hornets have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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