LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has averaged 10.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
LeBron James has played 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

LeBron James has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
The Lakers will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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