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LeBron James

LeBron James Assists
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

LeBron James has averaged 10.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

LeBron James has played 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

LeBron James should see a spike in effectiveness across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

LeBron James has been called for 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year at home.

The Lakers will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have brought down 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

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