LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 6.5 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.
LeBron James has tallied 33.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The 10th-speediest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which should boost opportunities for the Lakers.
This year, opposing teams have nabbed 10.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

LeBron James has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
LeBron James is expected to suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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