LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 11:27 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 6.6 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 97th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, LeBron James slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 6th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 6 games (the 76ers).

Favors Under

LeBron James has accumulated 1.8 personal fouls per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.7 fouls per game last year.
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).
LeBron James stands to experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this game.

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