LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 2:43 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has totaled a terrific 7.6 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 7.3 assists per game last season.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 33.2 minutes per game this year.
Among all players in the league, LeBron James comes in at the 18th percentile for personal fouls, registering just 1.2 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, their opposition has secured 9.0 offensive boards per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (minimizing possessions that could otherwise bring about added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league at home this year, which should reduce plays for the Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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