LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 7.2 assists per game while at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
LeBron James has tallied 34.7 minutes per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce added chances for offense).
LeBron James will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, LeBron James measures in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a massive 0.0 fouls per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
The Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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