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LeBron James

LeBron James Assists
Player Prop - 5/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • LeBron James has put up 6.6 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
  • LeBron James has played 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • LeBron James has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
  • LeBron James will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers player production across the board.

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