LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 4, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has tallied 6.6 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
LeBron James has averaged 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Warriors have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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