LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 10:11 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has put up 6.7 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
LeBron James has tallied 35.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Grizzlies have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise possessions for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

LeBron James has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
Playing at home, the Grizzlies have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
LeBron James will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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