LeBron James Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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LeBron James

NBA · Player Props

LeBron James

F · Los Angeles Lakers

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

LeBron James Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

LeBron James has compiled 7.5 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best by this standard recently: 98th percentile.
LeBron James has tallied 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should increase plays for the Spurs.
LeBron James will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Spurs have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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