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Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Utah Jazz

Lauri Markkanen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Lauri Markkanen has successfully made 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

Lauri Markkanen has played 30.3 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.7).

The Utah Jazz rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Lauri Markkanen has tallied 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.

The Utah Jazz rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

The Utah Jazz have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Jazz.

Lauri Markkanen will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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