Larry Nance Jr. Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Steals

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-215/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has put up 1.2 steals per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league's best in this category over this stretch: 91st percentile.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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