Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 10:23 PM UTC

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 1.4 offensive boards per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric in recent games: 83rd percentile.
The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. figures to experience a decrease in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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