Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 1:27 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has posted 7.0 rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.7 higher than he's posted overall this year at home.
Larry Nance Jr. has been called for a mere 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.1 fouls per game last year.
The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 14thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Larry Nance Jr. ought to see an increase in production for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Jazz have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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