Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 18, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has totaled 6.4 rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Relative to last year's 2.1 clip, Larry Nance Jr.'s personal fouls per game have decreased this year to 1.2.
The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the other team has collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise result in additional opportunities for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. should see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Pelicans.

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