Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has posted 1.5 offensive boards per game this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's best in this category in recent days.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games at home, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (retaining possessions that can create more chances for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. stands to see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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