Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 2:22 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has totaled 2.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's totaled in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4thbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which should reduce possessions for the Pelicans.
Over the last 15 games, opposing teams have collected 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Nuggets (saving possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).
Larry Nance Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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