Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers · Apr 1, 2023

Updated Apr 2, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 2.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 9 games on his home court, 0.7 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.
Larry Nance Jr. will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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