Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has compiled 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production across the board.

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