Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2023

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 22, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 1.6 offensive rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard over this stretch of games.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (which also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (87th percentile).
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Heat.
Larry Nance Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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