Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2025

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 30, 2025

Updated Jan 31, 2025 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 41.5% of his 3-point shots this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Cavaliers).
The Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. has made 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 7.5% more than he's sunk in all games this season.

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Hawks's poor 26.4% rate of drained threes settles in as the worst in the league over the last 5 games.
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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