Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-103/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has been on the court for 25.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The matchup against the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has attempted and missed 3.0 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's missed from downtown over the course of the season while at home.
The Hawks rank as the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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