Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 12:20 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has attempted 4.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
The fastest pace home offense in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Bulls have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should raise possessions for the Hawks.
The Hawks check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Hawks's lackluster 34.3% rate of successful threes at home rates 7th-weakest in the league this year.

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