Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 12:34 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-143/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has converted 74.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 16.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. places in the 80th percentile for three-point efficiency with the home court advantage with a very good 40.2% rate this year.
The Pelicans will likely see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
The Pelicans have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. will likely see a rise in production in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.
In regard to shooting, the New Orleans Pelicans's subpar 100.6 points per game comes in as the 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

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