Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 24, 2024

Updated Apr 25, 2024 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 3.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Larry Nance Jr. slots into the 86th percentile for 3-point ability when playing on the road with an outstanding 41.2% rate this year.
As it relates to offense, the Pelicans's fantastic 112.8 points per game away from their home court places 7th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's committed in all games this season.
The 6th-most sluggish pace road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans rank 8thworst in in the NBA as the road team with only 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Larry Nance Jr. will likely suffer a reduction in production for all stats on account of being on the road in this matchup.

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