Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 11:32 PM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-108).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 51.9% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.
Larry Nance Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 27.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Larry Nance Jr. is expected to see a spike in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Pelicans check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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