Larry Nance Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2024

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Larry Nance Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Larry Nance Jr.

F-C · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 9, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 2:03 AM EST

Analysis

Larry Nance Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Larry Nance Jr. has made 43.8% of his three-pointers while on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Larry Nance Jr. has averaged 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
In terms of shooting, the Pelicans's impressive 113.5 points per game on the road places 9th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
Larry Nance Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 30.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

Larry Nance Jr. has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Pelicans have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Larry Nance Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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